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December 31, 1969     8 Comments

Comments (8)

  • April 9, 2014 9:56 pm

    I made a big mistake last season keeping Eric Staal. This year I have Ryan Getzlaf and Nicklas Backstrom to choose from. What do you recommend?

  • April 10, 2014 8:38 pm

    Hi Mike, Thanks for the reply. I guess I was hoping for a cut and dry response, but its not that simple. I'm in a ten-team roto league. We track G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, FOW, HIT, BLK.

  • April 11, 2014 6:45 pm

    Hi- Any advice on 2 keepers out of: Kopitar Kunitz Marleau Subban Steen Thornton Wheeler Hossa My league looks at G, A, PIM, +-, PPG, PPA, shorthanded points, GWG, Shots, FW, Hits, Blocks My first thought is Kopitar and then either Marleau or Kunitz...or Subban. but then Wheeler also looks like he could step up higher. Does your younger guys argument come in here? I kinda think Marleau and Kunitz may be on the downward trend due to age...

  • April 13, 2014 1:09 pm

    Good analysis, I'm wondering whether the use of the deviation away from career average sh% as entirely a measure of luck is actually based on data. Is there an observed trend of players hovering around the same sh% all of their careers or does it sometimes permanently change with player improvement or changes in circumstances? It would seem that players should theoretically get better at shooting as they progress (to a certain point) and so career sh% would tend to be lower than current for most players. Should a player such as Steen who may be clicking with the right line mates be treated differently than getzlaf who is in similar circumstances as previous years when it comes to assessing the role of luck in the deviation of sh% away from career average?

  • April 13, 2014 1:30 pm

    This is interesting... I am torn between 4 players. I can only keep 3. Toews, P.Kane, Seguin, and Niemi. I traded for Kane last season, and had Niemi as my other keeper. This year I drafted Seguin to be my 3rd keeper but then traded for Toews later in the season. So now I have too many people to choose from. (we're adding one keeper every season) My 10 team H2H league is heavily weighted in the goalie category (7 out of 17 cats w/ 21 bench spots) so to let Niemi go would be a bad decision since 7 out of 10 teams will probably have 1 elite goalie keeper going into the draft. I also don't have a 1st rd pick going into next years draft and most good goalies go by the 2nd (I will have either 19th or 20th overall as my first pick) so I would be at a disadvantage next season or pay a premium in a trade. my categories are G, A, +/- PIM PPP GWG SOG FW HIT BLK I think it basically comes down to Kane & Seguin. What say you?

  • May 18, 2014 11:41 pm

    Andrew - I'd need to know your scoring settings before I could give you a solid answer on that. In most categories, you're not going to notice much a difference between the two players. But if your league counts Hits, for example, you'll see a decided advantage for Getzlaf.

  • May 18, 2014 11:41 pm

    These two guys are very close in this type of scoring system. They'll put up similar numbers in most categories, but Backstrom wins PPP and Getzlaf wins H & BS. You could look at your other keeper players and see if there is a weakness in one of these three categories I listed above. If so, pick the guy that fills in the hole. Barring that, when players are close in value, I lean toward the younger guys in keeper leagues.

  • May 18, 2014 11:41 pm

    Daniel,

    Kopitar would be on my list too out of those players. I would also keep Subban. He's a rare talent on defense and someone you would lose pretty early in the draft if you let him go.

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