Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Glendening | 10 | 1 | 55 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 18.2 | 8.9 | 105 |
| Jake McCabe | 8 | 20 | 72 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 102 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 6 | 6 | 63 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 92 |
| Drew Doughty | 15 | 33 | 128 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 11.7 | 6.4 | 83 |
| Brendan Smith | 5 | 10 | 56 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 83 |
| Damon Severson | 9 | 18 | 84 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 80 |
| Sonny Milano | 13 | 8 | 46 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 28.3 | 15.7 | 79 |
| Olli Maatta | 4 | 13 | 47 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Jake Walman | 12 | 9 | 108 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 70 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 19 | 29 | 196 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 5.7 | 70 |
| Jason Dickinson | 21 | 13 | 119 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 17.7 | 10.5 | 68 |
| Anthony Mantha | 23 | 20 | 110 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 20.9 | 12.6 | 66 |
| Noah Hanifin | 13 | 30 | 160 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 65 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 19 | 37 | 122 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 15.6 | 9.4 | 65 |
| Connor Dewar | 11 | 5 | 73 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 15.1 | 9.3 | 62 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 12 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15.3 | 9.5 | 61 |
| Sam Lafferty | 12 | 11 | 74 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 60 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 26 | 24 | 149 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 17.5 | 11.0 | 59 |
| Nils Hoglander | 23 | 11 | 117 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 19.7 | 12.4 | 59 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 16 | 16 | 96 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 59 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 23 | 28 | 137 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 16.8 | 10.6 | 58 |
| Adam Fox | 16 | 54 | 131 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 12.2 | 7.7 | 58 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe | 5 | 5 | 51 | 1.0 | NA | 9.8 | 6.3 | 57 |
| Sam Reinhart | 53 | 37 | 220 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 24.1 | 15.5 | 56 |
| Vinni Lettieri | 5 | 4 | 46 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 10.9 | 7.0 | 56 |
| Anze Kopitar | 26 | 42 | 129 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 20.2 | 13.0 | 55 |
| Nicholas Paul | 23 | 20 | 145 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 10.4 | 53 |
| Charlie Coyle | 25 | 33 | 145 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 17.2 | 11.4 | 52 |
| Brandon Saad | 26 | 14 | 133 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 19.6 | 12.9 | 52 |
| Colton Parayko | 10 | 16 | 150 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 51 |
| Tyler Seguin | 25 | 27 | 150 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 50 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 4 | 29 | 141 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -51 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 5 | 11 | 94 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 11.0 | -52 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 2 | 7 | 53 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 7.9 | -52 |
| Barrett Hayton | 3 | 7 | 66 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 9.6 | -53 |
| Ryan Suter | 2 | 15 | 98 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4.5 | -54 |
| Jeff Petry | 2 | 20 | 79 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 5.7 | -55 |
| Kevin Bahl | 1 | 10 | 63 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.6 | -56 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 7 | 43 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 10.9 | -57 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 5 | 9 | 115 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 10.3 | -58 |
| Yanni Gourde | 8 | 21 | 145 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 13.1 | -58 |
| Max Pacioretty | 4 | 17 | 89 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 11.1 | -60 |
| Torey Krug | 3 | 35 | 161 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4.8 | -61 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 7 | 59 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 9.3 | -63 |
| Adam Pelech | 1 | 13 | 69 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -63 |
| Connor Brown | 4 | 7 | 101 | 1.6 | NA | 4.0 | 10.8 | -63 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 16 | 85 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3.3 | -64 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 2 | 12 | 104 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.4 | -64 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 1 | 19 | 69 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | -65 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 1 | 3 | 49 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 7.6 | -73 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 28 | 132 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5.8 | -74 |
| Adam Boqvist | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 8.6 | -74 |
| Ross Johnston | 1 | 3 | 42 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 9.5 | -75 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 14 | 65 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6.2 | -75 |
| TJ Brodie | 0 | 24 | 49 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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