Trading Joe Pavelski

If you’re a Joe Pavelski owner, you might be happily accruing points in your fantasy hockey league as San Jose climbs their way up the Western Conference standings. Pavelski has 5G and 8A in 10 GP this season; he’s third in the league in PPA.

If I were a Joe Pavelski owner, I’d be looking to trade him this weekend. Why?

  • Joe Pavelski’s SH% – his current SH% is significantly higher than his career SH% (read more about that here). So, we expect his goal scoring rate to decrease going forward.
  • Patrick Marleau’s SH% – Pavelski’s most common line mate is Patrick Marleau. Marleau’s SH% is also significantly higher than his career SH%. When Marleau’s goal scoring rate drops, Pavelski’s assist totals will fall as well.

Pavelski is that rare fantasy hockey player with goal and assist totals that are both currently inflated by luck. His trade value in your fantasy league is at its peak; use this to your advantage while you can.

Comments (13)

  1. I traded Joe Pavelski and Jeff Skinner about 4-5 days ago for Henrik Zetterberg and David Perron. Needless to say, I was ecstatic. And as a bonus, my first game with Zetterberg was the 3 goals and 2 assists night. Sell High on Marleau too. Since he has no points in 4-5 games.

  2. In that very same league, I just traded Vladimir Tarasenko and David Perron for a struggling Ilya Kovalchuk. (However, he had a nice shorty the last game he played.) I’m reaping the benefits of selling high on young players who are havign hot starts) I mean realistically, that blues team will not have one standout star. They have an offense by committee and play a definsive minded game with Ken Hitchcock. Blues players just dont seem to have a shot to hold point per game paces all year. So, I always sell high on them.

  3. Whoo hoo! I just dealt Pavelski for Corey Perry straight up in a standard Yahoo league that includes PIMs. Love this deal, especially when considering that the Ducks play on many off-nights compared to the rest of the league. I hope Perry picks it up soon in this lockout-shortened season…

  4. I’m sticking with Pavelski. He’s a shooter and goal scorer. That’s why I drafted him, and I believe he’s shown 40-goal potential the last couple seasons. He’s hitting the prime of his career and is only 35-goal pace. While it’s interesting his shooting percentage is very high, it’s more interesting to me that he’s averaging more than a shot less per game this season than previous two combined. I think that shows some real opportunity for him as he gets back to that average pace of more than 3.5 shots per game.

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