Start Lundy vs. Philly?

[mbr311]

So...predicament. I am dominating this week up 13-0-2. Have 4 of 5 goal tending categories right now.

Wins: Up 3-2
Saves: up 207-89
SO: Tied 0-0
GAA: Up 2.58 to 2.90
SV%: Up .9200 to .8936

I have 7 starts to 4 for him. He can only start Enroth. I AM STARTING Brodeur at home against the Isles (feel that's fairly safe). Now do I put Lundy in at home against Philly? I must admit Philly scares me a great deal. They are one of the few teams capable of destroying averages. With everything in mind would you play him and Brodeur or just Brodeur? I feel like the only thing I'm "risking" is wins or if Enroth somehow gets a shut out. I'm not even sure if Enroth is even starting today. Help!!!

[mbr311]

I should note when I say the only thing I'm risking is wins: that's just if I start Brodeur (since we'd each have 1 goalie in play). I am worried that by throwing Lundy out there I am putting GAA and SV% at risk as well. I mean if his Enroth starts and gets a shut out and one or both of my guys get pounded I'm screwed anyway. But I don't see the Isles lighting up Brodeur on the road (1-0 last night Devils in NY).

[Mike]

Oops, didn't realize game already started. My point is rendered meaningless.

[mbr311]

Oops, didn't realize game already started. My point is rendered meaningless.

No your point was spot on and I'm really pissed I didn't take 10 minutes to realize starting anyone was a huge mistake. He's already given up 1 goal so the start ALREADY can do nothing but hurt me from hereon out. I usually don't make statistical mistakes but this was a huge Fu*¥ up

[Mike]

Mark - what are you hoping to gain with the Brodeur start? An extra win to help you in that category? Here are some Brodeur/Enroth scenarios:

Shutout: your GAA goes to 2.25 / opponent to 2.34
Gives up 1 goal: your GAA goes to 2.38 / opponent to 2.53
Gives up 2 goals: your GAA goes to 2.50 / opponent to 2.73
Gives up 3 goals: your GAA goes to 2.63 / opponent to 2.92

If you do nothing, your opponent needs Enroth to have a shutout or 1 GA game to catch you in GAA. You need Brodeur to give up 1 goal or less to improve your situation at GAA (2 GA doesn't do anything for you in reference to your opponent).

[mbr311]

And there it is a goal already

How is it that Hedberg...you know Hedberg really IS the better goalie IMO. My GAA just jumped to 2.651 i literally want to kick myself for starting anyone.

[mbr311]

Well shit that was great info Mike but the game already started
I really should have broken down the stats like you just did but I didn't have the time. That was STUPID of me to start anyone at this point I literally have nothing to gain and too much to lose when you put out those stats and even worse since Lundy plays at 2 I couldn't even asses the situation properly (if Brodeur gets creamed and I was then forced to start Lundy to play catchup...not enough time only 1 period will be in the books).
Sigh..guess I better hope Brodeur plays well. Honestly all I am trying to gain is a win. So taking all this into account I'm gonna bench Lundy because it should do me no good to play him at this point (unless Brodeur gives up 5 goals in the first period and gets pulled lol).

[NightParade]

I need Buffalo to score a goal tonight or I am sunk. 5 or 6 would be preferable. My goalies are sitting, but a S/O for Vokoun and I get swept in goalies. If he lets in one or more and wins I go 2-1-1, and if he lets one or more in and looses I go 2-0-2. Relying on other peoples goalies at weeks end is hared than relying on your own.

[mbr311]

Well I guess if worst comes to worst and I find myself slightly behind in GAA or SV% because of my bonehead mistake as long as it's close I have a chance to start Halak tomorrow (if he starts). Hopefully it won't come to that. Jeesh...Henrique with another assist though to knot it up 1-1. Man that guy has been an excellent pickup.

Also some advice would be helpful: would you move Khabby or Brodeur? At first I was thinking Khabby but now I'm wondering if moving Brodeur would be better and here's why - first I should get a better player in return and second I could turn around and grab Hedberg whom I think is better anyway. Thoughts?

[Mike]

Well I guess if worst comes to worst and I find myself slightly behind in GAA or SV% because of my bonehead mistake as long as it's close I have a chance to start Halak tomorrow (if he starts).

Halak won't be starting tomorrow.