Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton | 13 | 14 | 74 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 17.6 | 9.5 | 84 |
| Alex Killorn | 26 | 23 | 130 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 11.4 | 76 |
| Derek Grant | 15 | 10 | 94 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 16.0 | 9.4 | 70 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 12 | 7 | 85 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.1 | 8.4 | 69 |
| Zach Hyman | 21 | 16 | 106 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 19.8 | 12.0 | 65 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 9 | 13 | 85 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 64 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 26 | 16 | 151 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 60 |
| Ryan Suter | 8 | 40 | 111 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 57 |
| Noel Acciari | 20 | 7 | 108 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 18.5 | 12.1 | 54 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 41 | 34 | 208 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 19.7 | 12.9 | 53 |
| Elias Lindholm | 29 | 25 | 169 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 17.2 | 11.2 | 53 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 7 | 11 | 77 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 52 |
| Lucas Wallmark | 12 | 13 | 84 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 50 |
| Matt Dumba | 6 | 18 | 167 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 7.6 | -53 |
| Frans Nielsen | 4 | 5 | 86 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 10.0 | -54 |
| Tyson Barrie | 5 | 34 | 169 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 6.5 | -54 |
| Mark Giordano | 5 | 26 | 157 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 7.1 | -55 |
| Jordie Benn | 1 | 6 | 58 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.0 | -57 |
| Jay Bouwmeester | 1 | 8 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -57 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 3 | 11 | 68 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 10.2 | -57 |
| Adam Erne | 2 | 3 | 63 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 7.4 | -57 |
| Jonas Brodin | 2 | 26 | 103 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.6 | -58 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 59 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4.1 | -59 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 8 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.4 | -64 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 11 | 50 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -65 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 11 | 64 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.4 | -65 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 2 | 20 | 109 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 6.0 | -70 |
| Colin Miller | 1 | 10 | 79 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4.3 | -71 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
| Matt Irwin | 0 | 3 | 58 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
| Jason Demers | 0 | 11 | 53 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| David Savard | 0 | 11 | 97 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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