Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Brown | 10 | 6 | 35 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 188 |
| Drew Doughty | 4 | 11 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 12.9 | 6.1 | 113 |
| Joe Pavelski | 9 | 8 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 26.5 | 12.6 | 111 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 8 | 13 | 33 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 24.2 | 12.1 | 100 |
| Jeff Petry | 6 | 10 | 51 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 99 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 7 | 4 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 21.9 | 11.2 | 95 |
| Keith Yandle | 3 | 10 | 35 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 87 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 12 | 5 | 60 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 10.7 | 86 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 6 | 5 | 48 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 12.5 | 6.7 | 85 |
| Christian Dvorak | 9 | 6 | 36 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 25.0 | 13.6 | 84 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 8 | 14 | 36 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 22.2 | 12.1 | 83 |
| Mattias Janmark | 6 | 5 | 30 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 20.0 | 11.2 | 79 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 9 | 7 | 49 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 18.4 | 10.4 | 77 |
| Nick Ritchie | 6 | 7 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 16.2 | 9.3 | 74 |
| Jack Hughes | 4 | 7 | 33 | 2.4 | NA | 12.1 | 7.1 | 72 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 10 | 47 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 72 |
| Boone Jenner | 6 | 5 | 36 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 16.7 | 9.8 | 71 |
| Miles Wood | 5 | 3 | 34 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 14.7 | 8.7 | 70 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 9 | 9 | 43 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 20.9 | 12.4 | 69 |
| Justin Faulk | 5 | 3 | 50 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 69 |
| David Pastrnak | 9 | 5 | 36 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 67 |
| Josh Anderson | 9 | 3 | 49 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 66 |
| Joel Farabee | 8 | 6 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 22.9 | 13.8 | 66 |
| Logan Couture | 10 | 6 | 48 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 20.8 | 12.8 | 63 |
| Mitchell Marner | 9 | 21 | 49 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 18.4 | 11.4 | 61 |
| Mark Scheifele | 10 | 16 | 41 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 24.4 | 16.2 | 50 |
| Zach Parise | 2 | 5 | 35 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 5.7 | 11.6 | -51 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 10 | 41 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 4.9 | -51 |
| Adam Fox | 1 | 6 | 38 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 5.5 | -52 |
| Michael Del Zotto | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.7 | -53 |
| Adam Gaudette | 2 | 0 | 41 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 10.6 | -54 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 5 | 37 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 6.0 | -55 |
| P.K. Subban | 1 | 5 | 38 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 5.9 | -56 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 7.6 | -56 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 10 | 42 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 5.4 | -56 |
| Martin Necas | 2 | 9 | 34 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 14.8 | -60 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 12 | 50 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 10.6 | -62 |
| Timo Meier | 2 | 6 | 55 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 9.8 | -63 |
| Anthony Duclair | 2 | 8 | 45 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 12.3 | -64 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 2 | 2 | 47 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 12.6 | -66 |
| Josh Bailey | 1 | 8 | 31 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 11.2 | -71 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 10 | 56 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 6.3 | -71 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 5 | 61 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 11.6 | -72 |
| Derek Stepan | 1 | 5 | 44 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 9.3 | -76 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 10 | 43 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 10.2 | -77 |
| Rickard Rakell | 1 | 6 | 60 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 11.3 | -85 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 4 | 37 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| Josh Morrissey | 0 | 9 | 32 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 3 | 33 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 9 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 7 | 42 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 7 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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