Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton | 12 | 10 | 67 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 17.9 | 9.5 | 90 |
| Derek Grant | 14 | 6 | 81 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 17.3 | 9.4 | 83 |
| Alex Killorn | 23 | 23 | 113 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 20.4 | 11.3 | 81 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 8 | 12 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 11.4 | 6.4 | 78 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 11 | 7 | 77 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 71 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 25 | 16 | 137 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 18.3 | 10.9 | 68 |
| Zach Hyman | 19 | 15 | 95 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 11.9 | 68 |
| Noel Acciari | 19 | 6 | 94 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 20.2 | 12.3 | 64 |
| Elias Lindholm | 27 | 23 | 155 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 17.4 | 11.2 | 56 |
| Jack Eichel | 35 | 42 | 206 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 55 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 8 | 65 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 53 |
| Duncan Keith | 2 | 19 | 95 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 4.3 | -51 |
| Mark Giordano | 5 | 22 | 143 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 7.2 | -51 |
| Tyson Barrie | 5 | 32 | 160 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 6.5 | -52 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 3 | 23 | 92 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 6.9 | -52 |
| Jonas Brodin | 2 | 23 | 92 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.7 | -53 |
| Austin Wagner | 5 | 5 | 116 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 9.3 | -54 |
| Jordie Benn | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | -55 |
| Adam Erne | 2 | 2 | 60 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 7.5 | -56 |
| Justin Schultz | 2 | 6 | 72 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 6.3 | -56 |
| Joe Thornton | 4 | 23 | 66 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 13.9 | -57 |
| Jay Bouwmeester | 1 | 8 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -57 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 59 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4.1 | -59 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 8 | 55 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.5 | -60 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 6 | 59 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.4 | -62 |
| Frans Nielsen | 3 | 4 | 81 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 10.0 | -63 |
| Justin Holl | 1 | 15 | 81 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 3.4 | -64 |
| Matt Dumba | 4 | 17 | 153 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 7.5 | -65 |
| Colin Miller | 1 | 10 | 72 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | -68 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 11 | 62 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 10.1 | -68 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 2 | 20 | 109 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 6.0 | -70 |
| TJ Brodie | 1 | 15 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5.9 | -70 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 9 | 86 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 4.8 | -76 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
| David Savard | 0 | 9 | 85 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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